Competitive intelligence Evidence standard

The dangerous competitor number is the one no one can defend.

HCP competitive intelligence fails when observed activity, licensed estimates, inference, and absence of evidence are blended into one confident story. A useful brief keeps each class visible, then connects it to a decision.

Commission the intelligence brief
Evidence contractReview state
QuestionWhat can this signal actually support?
01
Public verifiedDated, citable, directly observed
Use
02
Licensed verifiedRights, method, period, scope recorded
Use with terms
03
Client providedOrigin and validation status visible
Qualify
04
InferenceReasoned interpretation, not fact
Label
05
UnknownEvidence is unavailable or insufficient
Protect
Working research, models, and exports remain protected.
01 / The standard

Competitive intelligence should narrow a decision, not decorate a deck.

A competitor set is a hypothesis until it is validated against the same HCP decision, market, geography, and time period. Channel presence is not spend. Creative volume is not investment. A missing public trace is not proof that an activity did not happen.

The work becomes useful when it shows what is observable, what requires a licensed source, what is inferred, and what remains unknown. That is the evidence contract Cadence uses from intake through executive readout.

02 / Decision path

Five gates between a signal and a recommendation.

The method is deliberately harder than collecting screenshots. Each gate removes an avoidable source of false confidence.

01

Frame

Lock the brand decision, HCP audience, market, geography, period, and evidence standard.

Output / decision brief
02

Validate

Confirm which competitors affect the same decision and document why each belongs.

Output / competitor set
03

Classify

Tag every material input by source rights, date, confidence, limitation, and evidence status.

Output / evidence ledger
04

Interpret

Compare message, audience, timing, and channel patterns without converting visibility into spend.

Output / pattern map
05

Decide

State the implication, owner, next action, risk, and evidence that would change the call.

Output / decision record
03 / Spend boundary

Public signals can show presence. They rarely prove spend.

Supportable

A dated observation, defined channel, accessible creative, public sponsorship, regulatory filing, or other directly citable activity.

Conditionally supportable

A spend estimate with an authorized licensed source, documented method, period, geography, media scope, and known coverage limits.

Not supportable

An exact budget inferred from search presence, creative count, impression fragments, anecdotal visibility, or a model with no qualifying source.

04 / Client output

What the buyer receives.

The public site shows the standard and output architecture. The research workspace, evidence ledger, comparative models, and client-specific conclusions are available only within a paid engagement or license.

A

Validated landscape

Included competitors, excluded alternatives, and the rationale for both.

B

Traceable evidence

Source, date, rights basis, confidence, limitation, and evidence status.

C

Observable patterns

Message, audience, timing, channel, and call-to-action comparisons.

D

Spend status

Supported data when authorized, plus a direct account of what cannot be known.

E

Decision implications

Crowded territory, defensible whitespace, risks, tests, and watch items.

F

Executive record

The recommended next decision, owner, timing, and conditions for change.

Start here

Bring the decision. Cadence will build the evidence base.

The HCP Competitive Intelligence Brief covers one US market and up to five competitors, with a public-source base scope and licensed data quoted separately.